KK came again, this time sitting in Chengdu.
On December 9, Kevin Kelly (KK), the founding editor of Wired magazine, experienced the city of Chengdu and demonstrated a PPT titled "Back to the Future" in the conference hall of Chengdu Jinjiang Hotel. This time he wants to share his views on artificial intelligence, VR social platforms, and tracking data transparency and privacy.
For people who like KK, every speech he has has a wealth of information and content. After all, many of his predictions for the technology industry have gradually become a reality. For an uneducated listener, he can ignore any of his information, because he can understand him and listen to him who has been sympathetic to the soul for so many years.
In the next 25 years, this is the time limit for KK's speech. In the 25 years of time, many things can happen, and human society will undergo many dramatic changes. Even KK himself admits: “It is very difficult to predict the future. But we have our advantage because technology is biased. Through the physical characteristics of technology, we can anticipate and understand where technology will go in the future. What will be the future technology for a long time..."
KK's speech was very long. In this fast-reading era, we extracted the three essentials from his sharing and shared it with readers and friends:
I. Trends and Defects of Artificial Intelligence
First, in the next 25 years, our perception is the trend of technological development. We now have some artificial intelligence applications, but after artificial intelligence, there are many new things.
With the emergence of more intelligent models, human beings can cope with more challenges in the fields of science and technology and business, and will also need more forms of new intelligent systems to solve new problems. As a different way of thinking from the human brain, artificial intelligence can bring us more inspiration and benefits.
Second, artificial intelligence in the future will be used repeatedly and at a lower price than current water and electricity. In the future, people do not need to create artificial intelligence. They just need to be reused and purchased. This progress will liberate more labor and thus change our way of life.
Finally, artificial intelligence is not fighting against humanity. Intelligent robots can serve us 24 hours a day, we will work with them in the future, we can control them, artificial intelligence will bring us more new employment opportunities. For example, art, research, innovation and other directions will be more practiced by humans.
While some work is done by humans and robots (such as doctors), the future wage level of people will depend on whether you can cooperate with artificial intelligence.
Third, more data and information will be traced
First of all, until the next 30 years, the behavior, data, etc. of all people and things can be traced. Through the virtual information database, the system can capture the love and preference of people's lives. Everything that can be shared will be tracked and shared. The capture of information can allow large companies to collect a huge amount of information.
Second, the world’s largest companies today will have the largest data. With the help of virtual reality companies, they will collate and mine data to serve people’s needs. Applied to us, for example, to understand the health situation, we need to use data to quantify ourselves. By tracking the data of our heartbeat, sleep, intelligence, blood pressure and other health conditions, we are a process of quantifying self.
Finally, the tracking process requires two-way supervision. Our privacy is important. We need to have personal privacy, but there is a contradiction between 100% transparency and privacy, and there is a conflict between universality and personalization. People need universal information and private information, so tracking needs to be selective. Through scientific and technological means, people can choose to be transparent or protect privacy. We need a personalized development with privacy. We believe we have to protect this point.
KK's final summary:
There are many impossible things in the future that become reality.
We are still on the new first day, and artificial intelligence will have more potential for development.
We can now imagine what kind of technology we want to see after 20 or 30 years. But I believe that the greatest product of the next 20 years is not yet available.
End of the small egg...
Readers and friends have seen this here. I believe you will have many questions. The following are some of the questions from the live audience. Their questions may also be the same as the questions you want to ask:
Q: Many people don't believe in future predictions. Is your personal prediction wrong?
A: I made more mistakes than you did. You only have to try hard and you will learn something new.
Q: Artificial intelligence will bring changes to many industries in the next five years. What are its key points?
A: I can't predict very specific things. I can only predict trends and directions.
Q: Who has given you the biggest challenge in your fans?
A: Those who apply artificial intelligence. They will mention the most difficult problems, but they also have shortcomings because it is difficult to predict trends when applying technology.
Q: Many people say that artificial intelligence will replace 70% of the human's work in the future, but where is human self-improvement?
A: The machine can do a lot of things, what are the benefits? Everyone has a different answer. You want to know the answer to all the questions. You can ask artificial intelligence later. He may give you an answer.
Note: Kevin Kelly (1952, reader friend used to call him KK)
Observers and prophets believed by the industry to be Internet commerce are the founding editors of Wired Magazine. There are scientific and technological trilogy: "Out of Control," "What Technology Wants," "Inevitable." Among them, "Out of Control" is a movie "Matriarch" director asked the actors must read a book, KK himself is the film's technical consultant, the book mentioned and is today the concept of rising or hot include: mass of wisdom, cloud Computing, Internet of Things, virtual reality, agile development, collaboration, win-win, symbiosis, co-evolution, online community, network economy, and more.
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